2009 CFL Eastern Preview - Winnipeg Blue Bombers

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06/23/2009 - Winnipeg, ON (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - FACTS & FIGURES: Division - East. 2008 Record: 8-10. Playoff Result: Lost, 29-21, to Edmonton in division semifinals. Stadium - Canada Inns Stadium. Capacity - 29,533. Colors: Blue and Gold

The good news for the Winnipeg Blue Bombers last season was that they finished in second place in the CFL's Eastern Division. Unfortunately, the club posted an 8-10 record during the regular season, not exactly cause for celebration, and the team was bounced from the playoffs in the semifinal round. Sometimes offseasons can be boring and quiet. However, that wasn't the case for the Blue Bombers.

First, head coach Doug Berry was shown the door, and Brendan Taman resigned his general manager position. Mike Kelly took over as head coach, and his first major duty is deciding who will start at quarterback.

Kevin Glenn was released, so the quarterbacks battling for the nod from Kelly are Stefan Lefors and Ryan Dinwiddie. Lefors played very little as the third- string quarterback in Edmonton, but he showed enough ability in his limited playing time that Winnipeg wanted to bring him aboard. As for Dinwiddie, he has been a backup for the Blue Bombers and now hopes to prove that he can carry the load.

There is no question that he has talent, but an unproven quarterback will always be heavily scrutinized.

Whichever quarterback wins the job, he will be playing behind an offensive line that has some fresh faces. Dominic Picard and Alexandre Gauthier, a pair of reliable linemen, left via free agency. Dan Goodspeed was also lost in a trade, so it is hard to imagine that the line will not suffer.

Fred Reid, Derrick Armstrong and Romby Bryant do bring explosiveness to the offense. Reid, a smallish tailback at 5-8 and 185 pounds, Reid finished sixth overall in the CFL in 2008 with 709 rushing yards on 101 carries. Armstrong led the team with 81 receptions to go along with 1,010 yards and five touchdowns, while Bryant had 65 grabs for 1,206 yards and nine scores.

Defensively, Winnipeg has enough talent in place to hold opponents in check. James Johnson is a new addition to the secondary, and Bombers' fans will likely remember him as the guy who intercepted Dinwiddie three times in the 2007 Grey Cup.

Keep an eye on Barrin Simpson, who missed most of last season with an injury. The linebacker is back on the field, and that's bad news for opponents.

Overall, Winnipeg has plenty of talent, but questions at quarterback keep us from picking the Blue Bombers to win the East Division.

Sportsbook Betting Lines Predicted Finish: Second

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Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?

I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.

There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.

Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.

For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.

A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.

The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.

Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.

So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.

Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.

“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.

Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.

“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.

It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.

Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.

The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.

“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.

“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”

Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.

The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.

“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”

Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?

“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”

Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.