Arkansas Derby goes to longshot Line of David

Horseracing Betting Lines

04/10/2010 - Hot Springs, AR (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Lightly-raced Line of David went wire-to- wire in capturing Saturday's $1 million Arkansas Derby at Oaklawn Park. The 1 1/8-miles was run in 1:49.37 over a fast track.

Sent off as a 17-1 longshot in the nine horse field, Line of David quickly took the lead coming out of the gate. He led the field around the clubhouse turn with 4-1 third choice Super Saver in second.

Running in third was 5-2 second pick Dublin with longshot Berberis fourth. Noble's Promise, the 9-5 favorite, was racing off the pace after being bumped at the start.

The top four runners kept their positions as the field went up the backstretch. Ridden by Jon Court, Line of David had the lead into the far turn and as the field entered the stretch.

Noble's Promise joined the leaders around the turn for home. Line of David, Super Saver and Dublin were three across the track at the top of the stretch. Super Saver and Dublin appeared to be ready to pass the pacesetter, but were unable to go by him.

As the top, three horses approached the wire. Line of David dug in to keep the lead. At the wire it was Line of David by a neck over Super Saver with Dublin another neck back in third.

"I tell you that we put him on the front end and rolled into that first turn and he was rolling along pretty good but he came back to me," Court said. "I was a little concerned because we were clipping along pretty good but we weren't losing any ground either. I was just right there in the one path tight against the fence around that first turn so I knew it went pretty quick. When I called on him he was full of run through the bridle and he fought very valiantly for the photo."

Uh Oh Bango made a late rally to finish fourth followed by Noble's Promise, New Madrid, Berberis, Pulsion and Northern Giant.

Line of David picked up $600,000 for owners Ike and Dawn Thrash. The purse is the first for the chestnut colt from any stakes race and should be enough to start the Kentucky Derby.

"I was telling Jon in the infield this one was kind of late to the party," noted Ike Thrash. "But he ran really well in his last couple races and even though we got around to it late we knew he could run and he showed up today."

Trained by John Sadler, Line of David was making his start outside of California and on a real dirt track. After breaking his maiden on the fourth attempt, the colt has now won three straight. He has career earnings of $662,000.

Sadler also trains Santa Anita Derby champ Sidney's Candy.

"We're really happy, the horse ran great," Sadler said. "We're setting up camp on Monday and Tuesday at Churchill, We have Sidney's Candy and Crisp and a few others, so we'll add this one to the list."

Line Of David paid $36.60, $14.80 and $6.80. Super Saver returned $6.20 and $4.00, and Dublin paid $3.60 to show.

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Pacific-10 Conference odds

Teams that should be in: Stanford

Oregon and USC get their tickets punched after taking care of business this weekend. Yes, the Trojans' computer numbers aren't great, but there's no way the third-place team in this league is getting nixed. Grudgingly, I added Arizona after consultation with our Bracketologist. I don't know that Arizona will lose its last three (including a Pac-10 quarterfinal game), and even if the Cats do, I still can't see how they'd be left out, given the overall profile. That said, it bears watching, as three more L's would leave them at 18-12 (9-9) and on a 6-11 skid entering the Dance. It would be nice to see the Wildcats get at least one W in the Bay Area next week, as Cincinnati (albeit without Armein Kirkland and with a worse profile) was axed after a similar slide last season. I just couldn't rationalize having some of the other teams as locks and not having Arizona in that category -- there just aren't enough good teams behind the Cats to threaten their spot, it seems. Stanford has its fate in its own hands with the Arizona schools coming to the Farm to close out the regular season next weekend.

Should be in:

Stanford [17-10 (9-7), RPI: 40, SOS: 21] No shame in not getting a win in L.A., but that makes the home game against Arizona State a must-win ahead of what could be an intriguing meeting with Arizona should the Cats lose at Cal. Getting to 11 Pac-10 wins would make Selection Sunday much more comfortable, but 10's probably more than enough this season. The Cardinal have nonconference wins over Texas Tech and at Virginia to lean on, although they also lost badly to Air Force and Santa Clara at home.

Southeastern Conference odds
Work left to do: Alabama, Georgia, Mississippi, Mississippi State

It looks more and more possible that no one from the SEC West will make the NCAAs. How weird is that? Tennessee and Vandy move into the locks category after more good work this weekend. Kentucky stays there, although it would be smart for the Cats to handle Georgia at home Wednesday ahead of a trip to the Swamp. Could a disaster scenario (two more L's and a first-round SEC tourney exit) somehow dislodge the Cats despite their incredible computer numbers? Still unlikely, but not worth chancing it.

Work left to do:

Alabama [19-9 (6-8), RPI: 43, SOS: 47] The tough L at Tennessee was understandable, and even created some hope. Unfortunately, that hope was dashed by a home loss to Auburn, which leaves the Tide in some real trouble. There's still no signature win on the profile (no, Kentucky doesn't count), and the computer profile is weakening rapidly. The Tide conceivably could beat Ole Miss and win at Miss. State to get to 8-8 and clinch at least a share of the West crown, but that's probably not enough right now. The Tide will need to do some work in the SEC tourney.

Georgia [16-10 (8-6), RPI: 52, SOS: 23] This is the team with the best chance to make it from this section right now. The Bulldogs rebounded from a terrible performance at Ole Miss to beat down Miss. State. Now they are at Kentucky (king of the RPI 51-100 win) and home to Tennessee. That would be worth a lot of computer points to get both (which is doable), as both teams are in the top 11 in RPI. Finishing at least 9-7 is an absolute must, and I would feel much better about the Dawgs' chances if they got both to get to 10 SEC wins. They also beat Gonzaga, but lost to ACC bubblers Georgia Tech and Clemson.

Mississippi [18-10 (7-7), RPI: 63, SOS: 79] Like everyone else in this division, Ole Miss gacked up a chance to stake a claim, losing by double figures at South Carolina. Even 9-7 likely is not nearly enough with a nonconference profile devoid of anything notable.

Mississippi State [16-11 (7-7), RPI: 66, SOS: 37] With a chance to get in the mix, these Bulldogs were leashed by their Georgia counterparts. Could they get to 9-7? I guess -- although winning at Arkansas, then beating Alabama is no lock -- but would that mean all that much for a team with this overall profile? Probably not. There's nothing of note (on the good side) in the nonconference profile.

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